體驗區
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| 篇名 |
“双减”政策影响家长再生育意愿吗？——基于全国29个省份的调查
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| 並列篇名 |
Does the “Double Reduction” Policy Affect Parents’ Willingness to Have More Children: A Survey Based on 29 Provinces Across China
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| 作者 |
陈祥梅(Chen Xiangmei)
、宁本涛(Ning Bentao)
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| 中文摘要 |
家庭生育意愿关系到人口的长期均衡发展。当前我国面临较大的低生育风险，低生育现象已成为常态。大多数研究聚焦于生育政策对人口的影响，忽略了教育政策的重要影响。本研究基于29个省份10341名中小学家长的调查，使用倾向得分匹配方法实证检验“双减”政策认可度对家长再生育意愿的影响及其影响机制。结果发现，提高中小学家长“双减”政策认可度，可显著提升家长再生育意愿。认可“双减”政策的中小学家长的再生育意愿效应更高，平均高出14.6%，这一结果表明“双减”政策的正外部性已外溢到人口生育领域，“双减”政策对家庭再生育计划产生了积极的影响。家庭教育支出和教育焦虑在中小学家长对“双减”政策的认可度和家长再生育意愿之间起中介作用。因此，应进一步提高中小学家长对“双减”政策的认知水平，持续加大“双减”政策实施力度，强化政策配套治理，教育和人口生育领域应实施多层次综合策略，全面有效地提升国民再生育意愿。
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| 英文摘要 |
Family fertility willingness is related to the long-term balanced development of the population. Our country faces a risk of low fertility, and the phenomenon of low fertility has become the norm. Most studies focus on the impact of fertility policies on the population and ignore the influence of education policies. Based on a survey of 10,341 primary and secondary school parents in 29 provinces (cities, districts) across the country, the research used the propensity score matching method empirically to test the impact of the “Double Reduction” policy influence on parents’ willingness to have more children and its influencing mechanism. The results found that increasing parents’ recognition of the “Double Reduction” policy in primary and secondary schools can significantly increase parents willingness to have more children. Parents who endorse the “Double Reduction” policy have a higher effect on their willingness to have more children, with an average of 14.6% higher. This result shows that the positive externalities of the “Double Reduction” policy have spilled over to the field of population, and the policy has a positive impact on family reproduction plans. Family education expenditure and educational anxiety mediate the role between parents’ recognition of the policy and parents’ willingness to have more children. Therefore, parents in primary and secondary schools should further improve their awareness of the policy, continue to increase the implementation of the policy, strengthen policy supporting governance, implement multi-level policies in the fields of education and population and fertility, and comprehensively and effectively improve the national rejuvenation fertility desire.
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| 頁次 |
075-085
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| 關鍵詞 |
“双减”政策
、再生育意愿
、影响效应
、倾向得分匹配
、中介机制
、“Double Reduction” policy
、re-fertility intention
、impact effects
、propensity score matching
、chain mechanism
、CSSCI
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| 卷期 |
42:6
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| 日期 |
202406
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| 刊名 |
華東師範大學學報(教育科學版)
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| 出版單位 |
華東師範大學
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| DOI |
10.16382/j.cnki.1000-5560.2024.06.007
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